Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0
Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
Creation-Date: 2021-11-26
Number: 21-106/III
Author-Name: Nobuyuki Hanaki
Author-Workplace-Name: ISER, Osaka University, Japan
Author-Name: Jan Magnus
Author-Workplace-Name: Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Author-Name: Donghoon Yoo
Author-Workplace-Name: ISER, Osaka University, Japan
Title: Stastics and Common Sense
Abstract: Common sense is a dynamic concept and it is natural that our (statistical) common sense lags behind the development of statistical science. What is not so easy to understand is why common sense lags behind as much as it does. We conduct a survey among Japanese students and try to understand why some probabilistic and statistical questions that baffled
great minds a few hundred years are now easy, while other (relatively straightforward) questions are not only difficult but even counter-intuitive.
Classification-JEL: jelB16, C10, C91, D80, D90
Keywords: keywordsprobability, statistical methods, experiment, common knowledge
File-URL: https://papers.tinbergen.nl/21106.pdf
File-Format: application/pdf
File-Size: 200.758 bytes
Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20210106