Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers Creation-Date: 2002-12-02 Number: 02-115/2 Author-Name: Rosita P. Chang Author-Workplace-Name: University of Hawai'i Author-Name: Sang-Hyop Lee Author-Workplace-Name: University of Hawai'i Author-Name: Sean F. Reid Author-Workplace-Name: University of New Haven Author-Name: S. Ghon Rhee Author-Email: rheesg@hawaii.edu Author-Workplace-Name: University of Hawai'i Title: One-Way Arbitrage-Based Interest Parity Abstract: This study is motivated by two major considerations. First, the Fletcher andTaylor (1996) approach has yet to be applied to short-date markets to assess thediminishing role of transaction costs in explaining the devjatjons of observed forwardforeign exchange prices from interest parity forward prices. Second, the role oftransaction costs in one-way arbitrage-based interest parity has not been examined.Applying the Fletcher and Taylor approach to one-way arbitrage-based interest parity inshort-date capital markets, we document three major findings: (i) a narrower neutralband around interest parity line, as implied by one-way arbitrage, does not diminish therole of transaction costs; (ii) the varjances of the estimated deviations are a decreasingfunction of the time spent outside the transactions cost band; and (iii) the magnitude ofarbitrage profits tends to be small and economically insignificant though profitableopportunities are not rare in the short-date markets studied. File-Url: https://papers.tinbergen.nl/02115.pdf File-Format: application/pdf File-Size: 84331 bytes Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20020115