Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers Creation-Date: 2004-11-09 Number: 04-120/2 Author-Name: Jan Marc Berk Author-Email: j.m.berk@dnb.nl Author-Workplace-Name: De Nederlandsche Bank Author-Name: Beata Bierut Author-Email: bierut@few.eur.nl Author-Workplace-Name: Faculty of Economics, Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam Title: On the Optimality of Decisions Abstract: Most monetary policy committees decide on interest rates using a simple majority voting rule. Given the inherent heterogeneity of committee members, this voting rule is suboptimal in terms of the quality of the interest rate decision, but popular for other (political) reasons. We show that a clustering of committee members into 2 subgroups, as is the case in a hub-and spokes systems of central banks such as the Fed or the ESCB, can eliminate this suboptimality whilst retaining the majority voting rule. Classification-JEL: D71; D78; E58 Keywords: central banks' policies; decision-making under uncertainty; committees; decision-making processes File-Url: https://papers.tinbergen.nl/04120.pdf File-Format: application/pdf File-Size: 339580 bytes Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20040120