Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers Creation-Date: 2008-08-25 Number: 08-075/3 Author-Name: Jaap Abbring Author-Email: abbring@tinbergen.nl Author-Workplace-Name: VU University Amsterdam Author-Name: Pierre-André Chiappori Author-Email: pc2167@columbia.edu Author-Workplace-Name: Columbia University Author-Name: Tibor Zavadil Author-Email: tzavadil@feweb.vu.nl Author-Workplace-Name: VU University Amsterdam Title: Better Safe than Sorry? Ex Ante and Ex Post Moral Hazard in Dynamic Insurance Data Abstract: This paper empirically analyzes moral hazard in car insurance using a dynamic theory of an insuree's dynamic risk (ex ante moral hazard) and claim (ex post moral hazard) choices and Dutch longitudinal micro data. We use the theory to characterize the heterogeneous dynamic changes in incentives to avoid claims that are generated by the Dutch experience-rating scheme, and their effects on claim times and sizes under moral hazard. We develop tests that exploit these structural implications of moral hazard and experience rating. Unlike much of the earlier literature, we find evidence of moral hazard. Classification-JEL: D82, G22, C41, C14 Keywords: insurance, moral hazard, selection, state dependence, event-history analysis File-Url: https://papers.tinbergen.nl/08075.pdf File-Format: application/pdf File-Size: 563571 bytes Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20080075