Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers Creation-Date: 2012-11-21 Number: 12-125/IV/DSF45 Author-Name: Denitsa Stefanova Author-Workplace-Name: VU University Amsterdam Title: Stock Market Asymmetries: A Copula Diffusion Abstract: The paper proposes a model for the dynamics of stock prices that incorporates increased asset co-movements during extreme market downturns in a continuous-time setting. The model is based on the construction of a multivariate diffusion with a pre-specified stationary density with tail dependence. I estimate the model with Markov Chain Monte Carlo using a sequential inference procedure that proves to be well-suited for the problem. The model is able to reproduce stylized features of the dependence structure and the dynamic behaviour of asset returns. Classification-JEL: C11, C51, C58 Keywords: tail dependence, multivariate diffusion, Markov Chain Monte Carlo File-Url: https://papers.tinbergen.nl/12125.pdf File-Format: application/pdf File-Size: 909208 bytes Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20120125