Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers Creation-Date: 2013-10-10 Number: 13-159/VIII Author-Name: Trond G. Husby Author-Workplace-Name: VU University Amsterdam Author-Name: Henri L.F. de Groot Author-Workplace-Name: VU University Amsterdam Author-Name: Marjan W. Hofkes Author-Workplace-Name: VU University Amsterdam Author-Name: Martijn I. Dröes Author-Workplace-Name: VU University Amsterdam Title: Do Floods have Permanent Effects? Evidence from the Netherlands Abstract: This study investigates the short- and long-run impact on population dynamics of the major flood in the Netherlands in 1953. A dynamic difference-in-differences analysis reveals that the flood had an immediate negative impact on population growth, but limited long term effects. In contrast, the resulting flood protection programme (Deltaworks), had a persisting positive effect on population growth. As a result, there has been an increase in population in flood prone areas. This discussion paper led to a publication in Journal of Regional Science. Classification-JEL: H12, J10, N34, Q54, R23 Keywords: regional population dynamics, natural disasters, flood risk management File-Url: https://papers.tinbergen.nl/13159.pdf File-Format: application/pdf File-Size: 1231525 bytes Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20130159