Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers Creation-Date: 2013-11-08 Number: 13-182/II Author-Name: Harold Houba Author-Workplace-Name: VU University Amsterdam Author-Name: Erik Ansink Author-Workplace-Name: VU University Amsterdam Title: Sustainable Agreements on Stochastic River Flow Abstract: Many water allocation agreements in transboundary river basins are inherently unstable. Due to stochastic river flow, agreements may be broken in case of drought. The objective of this paper is to analyze whether water allocation agreements can be self-enforcing, or sustainable. We do so using an infinitely-repeated sequential game that we apply to several classes of agreements.To derive our main results we apply the Folk Theorem to the river sharing problem using the equilibrium concepts of subgame-perfect equilibrium and renegotiation-proof equilibrium. We show that, given the upstream-downstream asymmetry, sustainable agreements allow downstream agents to reap the larger share of the benefits of cooperation. Classification-JEL: C73, D74, F53, Q25 Keywords: river sharing, sustainable agreements, repeated sequential game, Folk Theorem, water allocation, renegotiation-proofness File-Url: https://papers.tinbergen.nl/13182.pdf File-Format: application/pdf File-Size: 238820 bytes Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20130182