Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers Creation-Date: 2014-10-20 Number: 14-139/I Author-Name: Audrey Hu Author-Workplace-Name: University of Amsterdam, the Netherlands Author-Name: Liang Zou Author-Workplace-Name: University of Amsterdam, the Netherlands Title: Sequential Auctions, Price Trends, and Risk Preferences Abstract: We analyze sequential Dutch and Vickrey auctions where risk averse, or risk preferring, bidders may have heterogeneous risk exposures. We derive and characterize a pure strategy equilibrium of both auctions for arbitrary number of identical objects. A sufficient, and to certain extent necessary, condition for this result is that bidders' marginal utilities are log-submodular in income and type. We then show that when bidders are risk averse (preferring), the equilibrium price sequences should be downward (upward) drifting, and in each period the conditional expected revenue is higher (lower) in the Dutch than in the Vickrey sequential auctions. In particular, the "declining price anomaly" is perfectly consistent with nonincreasing absolute risk aversion when bidders have exposures to background risk. Classification-JEL: D44, D82 Keywords: sequential auction, background risk, risk preferences, declining prices, log-submodularity File-Url: https://papers.tinbergen.nl/14139.pdf File-Format: application/pdf File-Size: 225974 bytes Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20140139