Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers Creation-Date: 2023-01-20 Number: 23-002/IV Author-Name: Sweder van Wijnbergen Author-Workplace-Name: University of Amsterdam Author-Name: Daniël Dimitrov Author-Workplace-Name: University of Amsterdam Title: Macroprudential Regulation: A Risk Management Approach Abstract: We address the problem of regulating the size of banks’ macroprudential capital buffers by using market-based estimates of systemic risk and by developing a modeling mechanism through which capital buffers can be allocated efficiently across systemic banks. First, a Distance-to-Default type measure relates a bank’s default risk to its capital requirements. Second, a correlation structure in the default dependencies between banks is estimated from co-movements in the single-name CDS spreads of the underlying banks. Third, risk minimization and equalization approaches are adopted to allocate the capital requirements in line with a policy balancing the social costs and benefits of higher capital requirements. The model is applied to the European banking sector. Classification-JEL: G01, G20, G18, G38 Keywords: systemic risk, regulation, implied market measures, financial institutions, CDS rates File-URL: https://papers.tinbergen.nl/23002.pdf File-Format: application/pdf File-Size: 1.824.998 bytes Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20230002