Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers Creation-Date: 2025-11-27 Number: 25-066/V Author-Name: Hessel Oosterbeek Author-Workplace-Name: University of Amsterdam Author-Name: Tina Rozsos Author-Workplace-Name: Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Author-Name: Bas van der Klaauw Author-Workplace-Name: Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam Title: School choice, school switching, and optimal assignment Abstract: Close to 20% of secondary school students in Amsterdam - and elsewhere - transfer between secondary schools at some point, even when initially placed in their most-preferred school. School switching is costly for the students involved and disrupts the learning environment of their former and new classmates. Using data from the Amsterdam secondary-school match linked to administrative registers, we show that switching can be predicted by hard-to-rationalize initial school choices. Over 60% of switchers can be correctly identified at the admission stage. Simulations indicate that encouraging predicted switchers to adjust their preference ranking of schools could reduce the switching rate by almost 15%. Classification-JEL: C35, C53, I21 Keywords: secondary education, school choice, school switching, admission lottery File-URL: https://papers.tinbergen.nl/25066.pdf File-Format: application/pdf File-Size: 2.430.421 bytes Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20250066